ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 241028
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jan 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move across
the basin Sunday through early Tuesday. Arctic high pressure of
near 1040 mb will move into Texas Sun night and settle in behind 
the front, and is expected to drive strong to near gale- force NW 
to N winds across NW and N central portions of the Gulf Sun and 
Sun night. Gale conditions are possible over the offshore waters 
of Tampico Sun night into Mon morning, and are likely over the 
waters offshore Veracruz on Mon and Mon night. Seas will quickly 
build behind the front as well, with rough to very rough seas 
expected. Seas look to peak around 16-17 ft in the SW Gulf near
the Veracruz waters on Monday.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Sierra
Leone near 08.5N13W, then continues SW to near 06N16W. The ITCZ 
extends from 06N16W to 01.5N22W to 02.5N33W to 00N50W. Scattered 
moderate to strong convection is noted from 00.5N to 06N between 
12W and 28W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 07.5N
between 30W and 49W. 

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A nearly stationary front extends across northern Florida
southwestward across the Florida Big Bend to 27.5N88W and to the 
central coast of Texas. Scattered showers are seen near this 
boundary east of 90W, while moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds
and seas of 3-5 ft prevail north of the front. Otherwise, a weak 
surface ridge dominates the remainder of the Gulf region 
supporting gentle to moderate NE to E winds and slight seas E of
91W and moderate to fresh SE winds W of 91W, with seas of 2 to 5
ft.

For the forecast, the stationary front will linger through
late this morning before it lifts N as a warm front, ahead of a 
strong cold front expected this afternoon. The cold front will 
move into the Texas coastal waters this afternoon, then stall 
through late Sat night as low pressure forms near the southern 
Texas coast and rides NE along the front through Sun. The front 
will then move SE across the entire basin Sun through Mon evening.
Strong reinforcing Arctic high pressure behind the front is 
expected to produce near gale force winds across NW portions of 
the Gulf Sun and Sun night, possible gale conditions over the 
offshore waters of Tampico Sun night into Mon morning, and gales 
over the waters offshore Veracruz Mon through early Mon night. 
Conditions will improve quickly from NW to SE Tue through Wed as 
the front moves SE into the NW Caribbean. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The most recent satellite scatterometer data showed fresh to strong
trades over the south-central to SW Caribbean south of 13N due to
the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high pressure ridge 
and the Colombian/Panamanian low. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these 
winds. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted 
elsewhere across the eastern and central Caribbean, including the 
Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds and slight seas prevail
across the NW part of the basin. Widely scattered light passing
showers dot much of the NE, W-central and SW portions of the 
basin.

For the forecast, broad high pressure centered over the east-
central Atlantic will maintain a modest ridge N of the area to
produce mostly fresh trades over the eastern and central 
Caribbean as well as the Tropical N Atlantic waters through early 
next week, while fresh winds offshore of Colombia pulse to strong 
speeds at night through Sun, then to near gale force afterward 
into midweek. Large E swell over the Tropical N Atlantic will 
slowly subside through the weekend, but remain around 8 ft through
early next week. A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean late 
Mon and begin to stall from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras 
by late Tue into Wed. Strong northerly winds will follow the front
before gradually diminishing to moderate to fresh speeds Wed.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front is analyzed from the Moroccan coast near 26N15W to 
25N21W to 25N30W, where it transitions to a shear line that 
extends to 31N38W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are N 
of the front and shear line. Very rough seas of 12-16 ft are seen 
N of 28N between 20W and 35W. Elsewhere, surface ridging 
dominates much of the Atlantic, with fresh to strong trades and 
seas of 7-11 ft prevailing across much of the Atlantic S of 25N 
and E of 60W. Moderate to fresh trades and 6-8 ft seas are S of 
25N between 60W and 70W, with moderate or weaker winds and seas 
elsewhere. 

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from 
near Jacksonville, FL northeastward across the western Atlantic, 
while a surface trough is E of this boundary from 31N71W to the 
the NW Bahamas. Meanwhile, high pressure is centered across the 
east-central Atlantic and extends a broad ridge W-SW to just S of 
Bermuda. The trough and ridge will shift slowly NE through Sat 
night. Fresh to strong S to SW winds will develop over the NW 
forecast waters Sun evening through early Mon in advance of a 
strong Arctic cold front that is expected to move offshore 
northeastern Florida early Mon. Winds to near gale force will 
develop just N of the area early on Mon. The front will reach from
near 31N70W to the NW Bahamas and Straits of Florida Mon evening,
from near 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba Tue evening, 
then weaken as it reaches from near 31N51W to 26N60W then 
stationary to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba Wed afternoon. Fresh
to strong northerly winds and rough seas are expected W of the 
front Mon afternoon through Tue afternoon, becoming mostly fresh 
NE winds Tue night and Wed within about 180 nm NW of the frontal 
boundary. 

$$
Stripling
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

166 
AXPZ20 KNHC 240909
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Jan 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0820 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 10N85W to 04N95W to
03N102W. The ITCZ continues from 03N102W to 07N120W to beyond 
08N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 18N 
between 107W and 123W, and from 07N to 11N between 124W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1011 mb low pressure center is just NW of Punta Eugenia from
which a surface trough extends SW across the Baja California Sur
offshore waters to 17N124W. High pressure WNW of the area 
supports moderate to locally fresh NW winds in the wake of the 
trough, currently affecting the Baja California offshore waters 
N of Cabo San Lazaro as recent scatterometer data indicate. Seas
are slight to moderate within these winds. Moderate SW and NW
winds associated with this trough are also affecting the southern
Gulf of California where seas are slight. Elsewhere across the 
Mexican offshore waters, including Tehuantepec, light to gentle 
winds and slight to moderate seas in NW swell prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough will move 
across the offshore forecast waters of Baja California Sur through
this morning, and across the southern Gulf of California through
late this afternoon. The pressure gradient between the trough 
and high pressure building southward across the forecast region 
will support fresh to locally strong NW winds in the wake of the 
trough. Similar wind speeds are also expected just ahead of the 
trough axis. These winds will diminish to 15 kt or less by this 
evening. Looking ahead, the next gap wind event in the 
Tehuantepec region is slated to begin Mon morning with winds 
rapidly increasing to strong gale force. Winds will further 
increase to storm force by Mon evening. Rough to very rough seas,
likely reaching around 28 ft will be associated with this event.
Marine interests transiting across the Gulf of Tehuantepec early
next week should be aware of this strong gap wind event, and 
take the necessary action to avoid hazardous marine conditions 
over the affected waters. 

Of note: The monthly distribution of Tehuantepec events shows 
that the largest number of gale force events occurs in December.
Storm-force events occur most often in January. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are across the Papagayo 
region and downwind to about 90W. Seas are 3 to 6 ft within 
these winds. Moderate to locally fresh N winds with slight to 
moderate seas prevail in the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, winds 
are light to gentle with moderate seas in mixed SW and NW swell.

For the forecast, high pressure N of the area will support fresh
to strong NE to E winds and rough seas in the Papagayo region 
through Sun morning. Fresh to strong winds in this region will 
resume again Mon morning, potentially reaching near gale-force 
speeds by late Tue afternoon with rough seas. Moderate to fresh N
winds will continue to pulse in the Gulf of Panama through Wed 
night. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker through the 
middle of the next week. Otherwise, rough to very rough seas 
generated by a strong gap wind event in the Tehuantepec region 
will propagate across the offshore forecast waters of Guatemala 
and El Salvador beginning Mon night, and subside Wed evening. 
Fresh to gale-force N winds will also affect the western portion
of the Guatemala and El Salvador offshores Mon evening through 
Tue evening.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge extends across the subtropical forecast waters
and into the deep tropics to about 14N. South of the ridge and
along 124W, a surface trough is generating a large area of
scattered showers and isolated tstms. Recent scatterometer data
show moderate to fresh NE to E winds ahead of the trough or W of
124W. Altimeter data show moderate seas to 7 ft within this area
of winds. Locally strong winds are ongoing within the area of
tstms per recent scatterometer data. Elsewhere, winds are 
moderate or weaker and seas are moderate in mixed NE and NW 
swell.

For the forecast, high pressure will build southward across the
forecast region over the weekend with a high pressure cell 
developing near 32N135W. The high pressure will move E by Mon
evening as a cold front approaches the NW corner of the
subtropical forecast waters. Fresh to strong winds are expected 
on either side of the front from Mon afternoon through Tue
afternoon when the front is forecast to extend from 31N129W to
25N131W before dissipating by Wed evening just W of the Baja
California offshore waters. Rough seas associated with the front
will start affecting the subtropical waters from W to E Mon
evening through Fri when seas will begin to subside.

$$
Ramos
  

No Storms to Report