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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 051626

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1026 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025

   Valid 051700Z - 061200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Weak lee troughing
   development across the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough
   ejects into the Great Plains will promote a favorable dry, downslope
   environment across portions of eastern NM and TX Permian Basin
   today. West-northwest winds of 15 mph combined with relative
   humidity in the 15-20% range are expected, but recent precipitation,
   relatively cool conditions and unreceptive fuels should limit
   broader fire weather concerns.

   ..Williams.. 12/05/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1140 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the
   CONUS. A period of westerly downslope flow can be expected across
   eastern New Mexico into western Texas as a weak lee-side low
   develops. Some overlap of relative humidity reductions around 15-20
   percent will be possible for a couple of hours in the afternoon.
   However, recent cool and wet conditions across the southern High
   Plains have improved status of fuels and will mitigate any
   widespread fire weather concerns.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 051947

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook. Deep layer
   west-northwest flow over the central/southern Rockies increases
   through Day 2/Saturday as an upstream mid-level short wave
   approaches the Great Plains. A strengthening lee trough across the
   central/southern Plains combined with the broad northwesterly flow
   aloft should promote a dry and breezy downslope regime across
   southeastern NM and TX Permian Basin region Saturday. A few hours of
   sustained west to southwest winds of 15-20 mph and relative humidity
   below 15% are likely, although fuels will remain largely unreceptive
   to wildfire spread, limiting the fire weather threat.

   ..Williams.. 12/05/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1141 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Saturday.
   Strengthening westerly flow aloft will overspread the
   northern/central Rockies as the next mid-level wave shifts out of
   the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies. A stronger lee
   cyclone is progged to develop across the central Plains. This will
   likely develop areas of overlap of dry/windy conditions across the
   southern High Plains. However, a lack of receptive fuels with recent
   wet/cool conditions precludes the need to include any areas.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052152

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0352 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   Model guidance consensus indicates little deviation in the overall
   upper-level pattern across CONUS through next week. Ridging nudges
   further into CA and the Southwest while troughing persists across
   the eastern U.S. A warming and drying trend under the ridge should
   continue across the much of the Southwest, CA and Southern Plains
   through much of next week while colder/wetter conditions exist
   across the eastern U.S., largely mitigating fire weather threats. A
   dry cold front will initially shutter fire weather concerns across
   the Southern Plains Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday, with relatively warm
   temperatures returning midweek contributing to drying of fuels
   across the region. A strengthening polar jet across the Northern
   Rockies and central/northern Plains and subsequent stronger surface
   cyclogenesis in the Central Plains could promote dry and breezy
   conditions across eastern NM/West TX vicinity on Day 7/Thursday.
   However, uncertainty in fuels and relative humidity reductions
   limits confidence in introducing critical fire weather probabilities
   at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/05/2025
      




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