Florence, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

051
FXUS64 KHUN 241644
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1044 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1043 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

-  Moderate impacts are expected across northwest Alabama and
   minor impacts elsewhere due to ice and sleet accumulations
   through Sunday.

 - An Ice Storm Warning remains in effect for Lauderdale, Colbert
   and Franklin counties in NW AL until 6 PM Sunday, with a
   Winter Weather Advisory in effect elsewhere.

 - Cold Weather Advisory in effect from Midnight Sunday night
   through Noon Monday. Wind chills of of 5 below to 5 above zero.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today and Tonight)
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

The first waves of sleet and freezing rain have brought hazardous
travel conditions this morning to much of north Alabama, mainly
along and north of the TN River. The very dry low levels has
helped to erode the precipitation on its southeast flank. More
persistent moderate to heavy mixed precipitation continues across
the mid South into far northwest AL into southern middle TN. A
combination of PL and FRZA is falling in northwest AL into
southern middle TN. SN was located just northwest of this line.
The good news is that the lack of precipitation further southeast
is allowing temperatures to rise a few degrees above freezing.
Continued warm advection just above the cold layer will also help
this cause as well. The higher elevations of Lookout Mtn and the
Cumberland Plateau in Franklin County TN may also stay near
freezing longer. Also, temperatures will be slower to moderate a
few degrees in far northwest AL later this afternoon, warming
above freezing this evening giving a reprieve and time for
improvement of icing conditions. However, temperatures may stay at
or just below freezing across the northwest tip of AL in
Lauderdale County. No changes in the Ice Storm Warning or Winter
Weather Advisory have been made. That being said, improving
conditions are expected tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday)
Issued at 1043 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Earlier expiration times may be considered for the Winter Weather
Advisory in central and eastern portions of our forecast area as
the warm sector surges northward ahead of the approaching Arctic
cold front. Persistent freezing rain will continue across the far
northwest tip of AL. Elsewhere, moderate to heavy rain showers
and a few embedded thunderstorms are expected through Sunday
before the cold front arrives. Although widespread flooding
issues are not expected, ponding of water is expected and brief
street flooding issues may occur in poor drainage locations. The
cold front will shift southeast through northwest AL and most of
southern middle TN by mid afternoon, and the rest of northeast AL
and southern TN from 3-7 PM. At this time, a changeover to wintry
precip is not expected behind the front. Temperatures will tumble
into the teens overnight with wind chills of dropping into the 5
above to 5 below range. Thus, we have issued a Cold Weather
Advisory from Midnight Sunday night through Noon Monday. Black ice
is a high probability given the sharp temperature fall and wet
surfaces. Temperatures will stay in the 20s for most areas,
perhaps hitting 30 in southern Cullman County and in valleys of
DeKalb County, but staying below freezing. Thus, shaded areas may
see little improvement in black ice.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Friday)
Issued at 924 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

By Monday night, the upper level trough axis pushes east towards the
Mid-Atlantic. In it wake, high pressure centered across the Southern
Plains will be the main driver of local weather. Ideal radiational
cooling conditions will take shape Monday night as the pressure
gradient weakens allowing for light winds and clear skies. We will
truly feel the Arctic airmass as temperatures early Tuesday morning
will dip down into the single digits. Grand ensemble guidance
indicates there is a 5-10% chance of sub-zero temperatures, mainly
north of the TN River with highest chances in southern middle TN. A
Cold Weather Advisory will likely be needed to cover this threat.

This cold airmass remains in place through the rest of the upcoming
work week. We should finally warm up above freezing by Tuesday
afternoon, but barely. With strong CAA in place, afternoon highs only
top out in the low to mid 30s despite ample sunshine. Slightly warmer
on Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 30s. Both Tuesday and
Wednesday night will see overnight lows dropping down into the low to
mid teens. By Thursday, a dry cold front will drop southeast across
the Tennessee Valley. This will reinforce the cold airmass across the
Southeast. Temperatures on Thursday and Friday will struggle to climb
above freezing with overnight lows in the lower teens.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through around 12Z. After 12Z winter
precip will begin to enter the area from the WSW. Currently we
have a wintry mix of snow and sleet arriving just after 12Z at
MSL and after around 13Z at HSV. Heavier precip will arrive at
both terminals after 18Z with MSL likely seeing a switch from SNPL
to FZRA between 18-20Z. HSV on the other hand will likely see a
switch from SNPL to RA. With the heavier precip, ceilings and
visibilities are forecast to drop to low MVFR. The low MVFR
conditions and heavier precip are forecast to continue beyond 00Z
into the next TAF period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through around 12Z. After 12Z winter
precip will begin to enter the area from the WSW. Currently we
have a wintry mix of snow and sleet arriving just after 12Z at
MSL and after around 13Z at HSV. Heavier precip will arrive at
both terminals after 18Z with MSL likely seeing a switch from SNPL
to FZRA between 18-20Z. HSV on the other hand will likely see a
switch from SNPL to RA. With the heavier precip, ceilings and
visibilities are forecast to drop to low MVFR. The low MVFR
conditions and heavier precip are forecast to continue beyond 00Z
into the next TAF period.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 413 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

High Risk for Much Below Normal Temperatures:

The Climate Prediction Center has included the entire Tennessee
Valley in a High Risk for Much Below Normal Temperatures between
January 31, 2026 through February 1, 2026. Therefore, there is
greater than a 60% chance for temperatures below 17-20 degrees F
during this period.

More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for ALZ001>003.

     Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Sunday night to noon CST
     Monday for ALZ001>010-016.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Sunday for ALZ004>010-016.

TN...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Sunday night to noon CST
     Monday for TNZ076-096-097.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Sunday for TNZ076-096-097.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...17
SHORT TERM....17
LONG TERM....GH
AVIATION...17