Magnolia, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

490
FXUS64 KSHV 241217 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
617 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

 - Transition to winter precipitation is underway and will
   continue to do so through the overnight and through the morning
   as the cold arctic airmass spills southward and collides with
   the warm airmass from the south and west.

 - Snow/sleet and ice accumulations will continue to impact the
   Four State Region through the weekend, resulting in power
   outages and impossible travel conditions.

 - Frigid and bitterly cold temperatures will linger in the wake
   of the winter storm with overnight lows in the single digits
   and low teens, and wind chills near and sub zero both Monday
   and Tuesday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Our highly anticipated winter storm is underway as what started as
rain is quickly transitioning over to a mix of sleet and freezing
rain across the I-30 corridor. Arkansas DOT cameras near and
around the Texarkana area show sleet covered highways as a result
of heavier bands of precip just before midnight. At the same time,
reports of ice on elevated surfaces and cars have come in through
the evening in areas along and north of I-30. This cold arctic
airmass will continue to spill southward, as temperatures at or
just below freezing will begin to emerge along the I-20 corridor
well before daybreak. This will allow the light reflectivity
returns on radar, which have been predominantly rain to this
point, to transition to a freezing rain mix, with the chance for
sleet in higher reflectivity returns. A 12z weather balloon launch
is scheduled for later this morning. This launch will sample the
environment as the sub-freezing surface temperatures continue to
slide south through daybreak. Expectation is for a robust warm
nose to still be present aloft, which will continue to support the
forecast of freezing rain through the day, resulting in dangerous
travel conditions and impactful ice accumulations across the
region. Given the expectation for impactful ice accumulation and
prolonged impacts, an Ice Storm Warning was issued this afternoon
for areas along and south of the I-20 corridor, where confidence
is highest for predominately ice during the weekend event.

Radar imagery will likely be split by three different p-types
through the afternoon as it will still take some time for a
complete changeover from rain to winter mix across the far
southern parishes and counties. As a result, impacts to the far
southern zones will be limited through this first initial wave,
with changes expected as the secondary wave of forcing and PVA
max moves into the area late Saturday and into Sunday morning. By
this point, sub-freezing temperatures will be areawide as we enter
a period of heavier precip rates, which can result in quick ice
and sleet accumulations based on location. At the same time, CAMs
continue to suggest robust convection within this wave of precip,
with the odds of thunder within the heavier bands of precip on the
higher side. Hi-res guidance continues to suggest that precip
will exit the region during the afternoon, with the chance that a
few snow showers/flurries linger across the area through late
Sunday.

While the departure of the precip will be a welcomed site, in the
wake of the winter storm, bitterly cold temperatures will
continue to linger into both Monday and Tuesday morning. Morning
lows will sit in the single digits and low teens, with wind chill
values near and below zero. Temperatures will finally climb above
freezing by Tuesday afternoon, allowing for the thaw process to
gradually begin. With this expected, this would cap off almost
80-90 hours below freezing for some locations. That being said,
while highs will be above freezing, overnight lows will fall to
near or just below freezing, allowing for some back and forth
periods of refreeze through the middle to end of next week.

Now is the time to stay indoors and avoid all travel as road
conditions will only deteriorate from here as temperatures
continue to fall and precip coverage expands.

RK

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Areas of FZRA, some of which may briefly mix with IP, will
continue to overspread much of the region this morning. Meanwhile,
IFR cigs have developed over E TX and SW AR, and while high based
MVFR/low VFR cigs at RSN/MLU will eventually lower/become low MVFR
by mid to late morning as a band of FZRA moves in. LFK will remain
above freezing through at least mid-afternoon, and thus have
maintained RA here with a transition to FZRA expected around/after
21Z. Once these cigs lower, IFR/LIFR cigs will persist through
the remainder of the 12Z TAF period as the areas of FZRA (with
reduced vsbys) continue as well, and while a lull in the intensity
is expected by this evening, additional areas of FZRA mixed with
IP will develop/overspread the region late this evening through
the overnight hours, resulting in additional significant icing. NE
winds 10-15kts will continue across the region through the TAF
period, with gusts to 25kts possible this morning across portions
of Srn AR/N LA. /15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 617 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Spotter activation will be needed today through Sunday for
accumulation reports of ice and snow across the Four State Region.
/15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  30  23  30  12 / 100 100  70  20
MLU  32  23  30  11 / 100 100  90  20
DEQ  22  14  25   2 / 100 100  70  10
TXK  23  20  28   8 / 100 100  70  20
ELD  24  14  28   7 / 100  90  80  20
TYR  29  21  26  10 / 100  90  50  20
GGG  29  20  29   9 /  90 100  60  20
LFK  38  23  34  13 /  90 100  60  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070-071.

     Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for
     ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

     Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for ARZ072-073.

LA...Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for
     LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

     Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for LAZ001>006-010>014.

     Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for LAZ017>022.

OK...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for OKZ077.

     Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for
     OKZ077.

TX...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126.

     Extreme Cold Warning from 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday for
     TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

     Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for TXZ136>138-149>151.

     Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST Sunday for TXZ152-153-165>167.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...15