Malvern, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

887
FXUS64 KLZK 261116 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
616 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

-An unsettled pattern will continue to be present across the state as
 an upper level omega block will keep mesoscale or features at
 the surface nearly locked in place

-Temperatures over the forecast period are expected to remain near
 average to a few degrees below average over the forecast period
 compared to normals for this time of the year

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

TUESDAY (TODAY)

In the upper lvls, an omega block becomes established at H500 with
one upper lvl low positioned over the Sierra Nevada region of the
CONUS and the other upper lvl closed low positioned over the
Canadian province of Quebec.

At the sfc, a sfc low pressure center and attendant stationary front
remain draped across the state of Arkansas with plenty of gulf
moisture being advected into the state via light southerly to
southeasterly winds from the sfc all the way up the atmospheric
column to H500.

Expect continued elevated POPs across the CWA and state of Arkansas
and the possibility of rain and isolated thunderstorms in the
forecast.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

In the upper lvls, the positioning of the omega block feature make
little progress as the feature remains solidified overall over the
CONUS. The one upper lvl closed low meanders slightly northward over
the Pacific Northwest region of the CONUS and the second upper lvl
closed low remains planted over the Canadian province of Quebec.
The upper lvl flow pattern over Arkansas consists of light and
variable winds.

At the sfc, the sfc low pressure center retrogrades back northwest
near the confluence or regions of southeast Kansas, northwestern
Arkansas, northeastern Oklahoma, and southwestern Missouri. Over the
duration of this period an attendant warm front is expected to lift
into southern Missouri and then progress back near the
Arkansas/Missouri border as a stationary front.

Expected a continued trend of unsettled weather as rain and isolated
thunderstorm chances will continue to be present in the forecast
over this period.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY:

In the upper lvls, the omega blocking pattern amplifies extending
from the CONUS well into southern and central Canada. At the sfc, a
stationary front will remain positioned across Arkansas keeping rain
and isolated chances elevated across the CWA and state of Arkansas.

It is important that while each day is not expected to be a deluge
by any means that appreciable opportunities for rain and isolated
thunderstorms will be present over the entire forecast period. A
scattered type of precipitation activity will likely be observed as
some places will observe rain on one day while others may not, but
the chance will exist either way and remain elevated given both the
pattern setup aloft and at the surface.

Latest guidance over this seven day period continues to portray a
picture of rain totals for the period between 1 to 2 inches
statewide. In response, it is understandable that while rain chances
will exist over the period that most days will not amount to a
washout by any means.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

Some low cigs/vsby will persist through the next few hours before
conditions improve to VFR at most terminals throughout the day.
Highest confidence in RA/TS activity will be across the northern
half of the state through the late evening hours. Winds will be
light and variable through the period. Could see some low cigs
occur near the end of the period, after 27/06z. The highest
confidence for this is across E/SE portions of the state.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     78  64  83  67 /  80  30  30  70
Camden AR         85  66  84  66 /  30  10  80  70
Harrison AR       77  62  81  64 /  80  20  40  60
Hot Springs AR    81  66  82  67 /  50  10  80  80
Little Rock   AR  80  65  83  67 /  60  20  60  70
Monticello AR     84  68  84  68 /  50  10  80  70
Mount Ida AR      81  66  81  68 /  60  10  80  80
Mountain Home AR  76  62  82  65 /  80  30  30  70
Newport AR        80  65  85  68 /  80  20  20  70
Pine Bluff AR     82  67  84  68 /  50  10  70  60
Russellville AR   80  65  83  68 /  70  20  70  80
Searcy AR         80  63  84  66 /  70  30  50  70
Stuttgart AR      81  67  84  69 /  60  30  60  60

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...67