Melbourne, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

985
FXUS62 KMLB 241752
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1252 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 537 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

- NEW: Dense Fog ADVISORY until 9 am for most of east central
  Florida. Visibilities down to a quarter mile or less in dense
  fog early this morning.

- Warm temperatures this weekend, with record highs forecast for
  Sunday.

- A High Risk of rip currents continues at local beaches this weekend.

- A series of fronts will bring colder than normal temperatures
  next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 537 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Cameras, area observation stations, and satellite imagery all
indicate areas of dense fog forming early this morning. This has
necessitated a Dense Fog ADVISORY until 9 a.m.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Today-Sunday...Patchy dense fog has developed early this morning
and will continue through sunrise, with a few locations already
seeing reductions to one mile or less. Use caution on the roads
early this morning and be prepared for rapid changes in
visibility. Fog is forecast to linger through around 9 AM before
diminishing.

A stalled frontal boundary remains draped across north Florida
today, with onshore flow persisting south of the front at around
10 mph this afternoon. Into Sunday, a developing potent low
pressure system over the Southeast will drag the stalled boundary
farther northward, leading to widespread winter weather concerns
for a majority of the eastern US. Locally, winds Sunday become
south to southwesterly as the front lifts, with the tightening
pressure gradient producing breezy conditions and gusts up to
20-25 mph in the afternoon. Mostly dry through the daytime hours
on Sunday, though CAMs suggest a few showers along the Treasure
Coast and possibly the Volusia Coast this afternoon, as a
shortwave passes aloft. PoPs remain around 20% or less for land
areas.

Instead of winter weather concerns, the Florida peninsula will see
southerly flow lead to well above normal temperatures. Highs this
afternoon are forecast in the 70s for most areas, with lower 80s
inland south of Orlando. By Sunday, record to near-record high
temperatures are expected, as temperatures rise into the mid to
upper 80s for all but the immediate coast. At the coast, will see
a battle between nearshore water temperatures in the mid 60s to
near 70 attempting to develop a sea breeze and breezy southwesterly
flow. Any sea breeze that manages to form is forecast to be
pinned to or offshore from the coast, providing minimal relief.
All local climate sites, with the exception of Daytona Beach, are
forecast to warm to within 2 degrees of their daily record highs.
A few monthly record highs for January will also be threatened.
See the Climate section for more details. Regardless, high
temperatures Sunday are forecast near 15 degrees above average.

Don`t let the warm temperatures and limited rain fool you,
conditions at the beaches will be dangerous. A High Risk of rip
currents is expected to continue through Sunday. Entering the
water is strongly discouraged!

Monday-Friday...As the aforementioned low lifts northeastward and
offshore from the Mid-Atlantic coast, it will drag a strong cold
front through the Florida peninsula late Sunday night and into
Monday. Scattered showers are expected along the frontal boundary,
beginning after midnight on Monday. PoPs 30-50%, diminishing from
north to south into the late morning and early afternoon hours.
Limited CAPE is forecast to prevent any lightning formation.
Breezy winds continue, though veer northwesterly through the day.
This will put an end to the heat wave, producing a temperature
gradient across the county warning area. Locations along and north
of the I-4 corridor are forecast to remain in the upper 60s to
lower 70s, while areas to the south warm into the mid-70s to lower
80s.

High pressure builds into the area Tuesday, with another cold
front forecast to move southward through the peninsula Thursday.
Dry conditions prevail through the work week, despite the front.
Cold temperatures return, beginning Monday night into Tuesday
morning, as lows fall into the 30s for all but the Treasure
Coast. Below normal highs in the 50s to lower 60s Tuesday
afternoon will have limited recovery through the remainder of the
period, thanks to the reinforcing frontal boundary. In fact,
overnight lows in the 30s and lower 40s will remain a concern each
night. Will need to monitor the potential for near freezing
temperatures in the colder locations, especially Tuesday night and
Thursday night. Cold Weather Advisories may be needed, with wind
chills returning to the 20s for at least portions of the area most
nights.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 159 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Isolated to scattered showers today over the Atlantic waters, as a
stalled frontal boundary remains north of the local area. Onshore
winds 8-12 kts and seas 3-5 ft.

Boating conditions will then deteriorate tonight and remain poor
to hazardous through at least mid-week next week. First, swell
from developing low pressure off of the Carolina coast will build
seas to up to 7-8ft over the offshore waters through Sunday. In
addition, increasingly southerly winds due to an approaching cold
front will strengthen to 15-20 kts by Sunday afternoon. Then, a
strong cold front will push through the local waters Sunday night
into Monday, bringing scattered showers and perhaps a lightning
strike or two over the Gulf Stream. Winds veer northwesterly
behind the front and increase to 20-25 kts into Monday night.
While northerly winds are expected to diminish Tuesday, seas in
the Gulf Stream will remain up to 10-13 ft. Small Craft Advisories
have been issued for the offshore waters beginning this evening
and will likely need to continue and expand through at least
Tuesday, before winds and seas briefly subside Wednesday ahead of
yet another front late week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1240 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

VFR conditions through the rest of the day. However, isolated
showers from FPR-SUA may produce brief MVFR CIGs/VIS through the
afternoon. Showers should shift offshore into early evening and
overnight. E winds 5-10 KT this afternoon will become light and
from the S/SE overnight. Guidance is indicating patchy to areas of
fog developing once again across east central Florida late tonight
into Sunday morning. The highest potential for areas of fog will
be at DAB, SFB and LEE. Have included TEMPOs for those terminals
starting at 09Z with IFR VIS. Have included MVFR TEMPOs for MCO,
ISM, MLB and TIX. S/SSE winds will pick up to 5-10 KT by mid
morning and increase to 10-15 KT with gusts to 20-25 KT in the
afternoon.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 159 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

Forecast high temperatures compared to the daily and monthly
records for Sunday, January 25th.

     FCST  DAILY  MONTHLY
DAB   83    87      87
LEE   85    85      86
SFB   85    85      89
MCO   86    86      88
MLB   84    85      88
VRB   85    86      88
FPR   84    86      89

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  60  83  63  70 /  10  10  30  20
MCO  63  86  67  72 /  10   0  30  30
MLB  63  82  65  75 /  10  10  10  30
VRB  64  84  65  78 /  10  10  10  30
LEE  61  84  62  67 /  10  10  50  20
SFB  61  85  65  71 /  10   0  30  30
ORL  63  85  66  71 /  10   0  30  30
FPR  64  84  65  78 /  10  10  10  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Monday
     for AMZ570.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday for
     AMZ572.

     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday for
     AMZ575.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Heil
AVIATION...Watson